Marginal Risk for Isolated Severe Storms This Afternoon and Evening
A marginal risk of severe thunderstorms is in place from the Ark-La-Miss region eastward into north-central Alabama today. Storms are expected to develop from mid-afternoon through the early to mid-evening hours as a disturbance in the upper atmosphere moves southeast across the region. Cooler air aloft combined with mild, moist air near the ground will create enough instability for a few stronger storms to form. While winds near the surface will not be especially strong, stronger winds higher up in the atmosphere may help storms organize and briefly intensify. A few storms could become severe, with large hail being the main concern. Most areas will not see severe weather, but isolated impacts are possible.

Elevated Fire Weather Concerns Across Texas and the High Plains
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across portions of south-central Texas as a weak, dry cold front moves through. Humidity levels will drop to between 10 and 20 percent, while steady winds of 15 to 20 mph, with higher gusts in some areas, combine with warm, dry vegetation to increase the risk of wildfire spread.

Similar conditions are forecast across parts of the Central and Southern High Plains, from northeastern New Mexico into southeastern Wyoming and the Nebraska Panhandle. Gusty downslope winds and very low humidity will create favorable conditions for fires to start and spread. In central and southeastern Montana, breezy winds are expected, but slightly higher humidity and recent light precipitation should limit more widespread concerns.