Severe Storm Risk This Afternoon Across Great Lakes and Ohio Valley
A threat for severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into early evening across parts of the Lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Storms in this region may produce damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes, especially near frontal boundaries. While some uncertainty remains due to earlier clouds and storms, increasing warmth and moisture should allow new storms to strengthen later today. Farther south, scattered thunderstorms are expected from the Tennessee Valley into the Lower Mississippi Valley and eastern Texas. A few of these storms could become strong, mainly producing isolated damaging winds. Overall, storm activity should weaken later this evening as temperatures cool and atmospheric conditions become less favorable for severe weather.

Limited Fire Weather Concerns Despite Breezy and Dry Conditions
No critical fire weather conditions are expected today across the United States. A strong weather system moving through the Great Lakes will push a cold front southeastward, while high pressure builds into the Plains and cooler air spreads across much of the country. These cooler temperatures and improving humidity levels will help reduce the overall fire risk. However, parts of the Texas Rolling Plains into southern New Mexico and southeastern Arizona may see brief periods of locally elevated fire danger. In these areas, gusty winds and low humidity could combine for short periods of concern, especially where recent rainfall has been limited. Overall, fire weather risks remain low and localized.