Severe Thunderstorm Risk from Texas to the Lower Ohio Valley
Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today and tonight from north-central and northeast Texas through eastern Oklahoma into the Lower Ohio Valley. A developing weather disturbance moving out of the Plains will interact with a stalled front, creating conditions favorable for storm development. Some storms may become severe, with the potential for large hail, damaging wind gusts, and possibly a tornado or two. Storms may become more numerous this afternoon and evening as warm, humid air builds northward ahead of the front. While not everyone will see severe weather, scattered strong storms are possible across the region. The greatest risk will focus from eastern Oklahoma and Arkansas into southern Missouri and parts of the Lower Ohio Valley before activity shifts eastward overnight.

Limited Fire Weather Concerns Today
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low across most of the country today. A weather disturbance moving through the central Plains, along with a stalled front stretching from Texas to the Mid-Atlantic, will help keep temperatures cooler and winds lighter behind the front. Slightly higher humidity levels in these areas will also reduce the risk of rapid fire spread across the central and southern High Plains. Farther north, a developing system moving from Alberta into Montana could bring a brief period of gusty downslope winds to parts of the northern High Plains. However, the strongest winds are not expected to overlap with the driest air. Because of this limited combination of wind and low humidity, widespread critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated.