Marginal Risk for Isolated Severe Storms in South Florida and Oklahoma
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening across parts of South Florida and Oklahoma. In South Florida, a weak disturbance moving across the peninsula combined with daytime heating and sea breeze boundaries may spark scattered storms. A few could produce large hail and brief damaging wind gusts before weakening after sunset. In Oklahoma, a slow-moving cold front near the I-40 corridor may serve as a focus for storm development late today. While coverage is uncertain, any storm that forms could become strong enough to produce hail and locally gusty winds. Meanwhile, parts of northern California may see isolated thunderstorms with small hail, but severe weather is not expected there.

No Critical Fire Weather Areas Expected Today
Fire weather concerns will remain limited today as shortwave ridging builds over the Southwest and weakens winds aloft across the southern Rockies and High Plains. A cold front will continue drifting south before stalling over the southern Plains. Ahead of this boundary, parts of eastern New Mexico and far West Texas may experience a few hours of warm, dry, and occasionally breezy conditions this afternoon. Winds of 15 to 20 mph combined with low humidity between 15% and 20% could lead to brief, localized fire weather concerns, especially where dry fuels are present. However, lighter overall winds, cooler temperatures behind the front, and areas of precipitation should prevent any widespread or critical fire weather threats.